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Thunder computer system selects
Jalen Williams Over 15.5 points (-120 )
Projection: 17.4 points
This is our computer's premier Oklahoma City Thunder gamer prop for tonight, clocking in with a 17.9% EV edge.
Jalen Williams has hit 16+ points in 5 of his last 8 general, and his ability to get to the foul line can assist him here.
"This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.1 free throws per video game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line."
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Chet Holmgren Over 14.5 points (-130 )
Projection: 15.4 points
Chet Holmgren has actually reached the 15-point plateau in six of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20 total. He's cleared this line in 5 of his last 6 on the road, including a 15-piece vs. the Lakers last night.
The system sees Holmgren hitting the Over once again tonight, with forecasts at an 11.4% EV edge.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 3.5 rebounds (-150 )
Projection: 4.3 rebounds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is understood more for his scoring than his rebounding, but our computer system sees SGA pulling in at least 4 boards this evening, making this a three-star play.
Gilgeous-Alexander handles a Los defense that's permitted the sixth-most rebounds to opposing point guards this season.
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Clippers computer selects
Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 points(-112 )
Projection: 9.3 points
Our computer's top choice for tonight with a 22.6% EV edge is Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 points. His scoring projection is 9.3 points, well above his published line, due to his forecasted nasty shot overall.
"This year when [the Clippers] are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have actually tried 4.9 nasty shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the nasty line."
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Kris Dunn Over 5.5 points (-111 )
Projection: 7.0 points
Our system sees Kris Dunn clearing a very low scoring bar tonight, and doing so rather quickly. There's a 21% EV edge associated with this prop.
The Clippers are the sixth-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games, and chances must be there vs. a taking a trip Thunder team that simply played last night.
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Kawhi Leonard Under 27.5 points (-120 )
Projection: 25.5 points
Kawhi Leonard's production is reducing a little as the season wears on. He's fallen listed below 27.5 points in six of his last 10 general, and our computer system thinks he'll turn up two complete points shy tonight, making this a four-star wager.
"Opposing group's beginning SFs have balanced 25.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a tough matchup. The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year."
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Thunder Vs Clippers Computer Picks: our Best Player Prop Projections For April 8
stewartdouglas edited this page 1 week ago