{"text_format":"1","workbook":"xls","n_sheets":4,"sheets":["季节水平时间","季节趋势时间","Sheet3","预测结果"],"not_rendered":{"charts":3,"images":0,"macros":0,"external_links":1,"defined_names":0,"comments":0,"pivot_tables":0},"unopened":[],"bounds":{"document_bytes":16777216,"sheet_cells":100000,"rows_first":2000,"rows_last":500,"rows_between":2000,"halvings":0,"cell_chars":16384,"cell_head_chars":4096},"cells_cut":0,"cells_raw":0,"read":"whole","date_system":"1900","formulas":"cached_only"}

{"sheet":"季节水平时间","index":0,"n_rows":7,"n_cols":7,"rows_kept":7,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[],"flags":["formulas_cached_only"]}
["年份","1季度","2季度","3季度","4季度","总计","季平均值"]
[2000,231.5,285.1,375.9,253.8,1146.3,286.575]
[2001,257.8,296.3,387.4,279.2,1220.7,305.175]
[2002,245.6,287.4,384.7,283.5,1201.2,300.3]
[2003,251.8,302.6,392.1,287.6,1234.1000000000001,308.52500000000003]
[2004,241.9,312.5,405.7,278.3,1238.3999999999999,309.59999999999997]
["同季平均",245.72000000000003,296.78000000000003,389.15999999999997,276.47999999999996,null,302.03499999999997]

{"sheet":"季节趋势时间","index":1,"n_rows":68,"n_cols":9,"rows_kept":68,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[17,0,20,0],[1,0,4,0],[5,0,8,0],[9,0,12,0],[13,0,16,0]],"flags":["formulas_cached_only"]}
["年份","季度","季顺序t","销售量y","趋势值","趋势季节比率（％）"]
[2000,1,1,107,321.2,33.31257783312578]
[null,2,2,456,331.4894736842105,137.5609291396091]
[null,3,3,512,341.77894736842103,149.80442883981644]
[null,4,4,238,352.06842105263155,67.60049631501055]
[2001,1,5,127,362.3578947368421,35.04822217057866]
[null,2,6,571,372.64736842105265,153.22797056621894]
[null,3,7,641,382.93684210526317,167.39052750213034]
[null,4,8,251,393.2263157894737,63.830926344812816]
[2002,1,9,158,403.5157894736842,39.155840767986646]
[null,2,10,629,413.80526315789473,152.00386655304428]
[null,3,11,660,424.09473684210525,155.6256050038472]
[null,4,12,293,434.38421052631577,67.45180715592551]
[2003,1,13,176,444.6736842105263,39.57958526654673]
[null,2,14,654,454.9631578947368,143.7479032425992]
[null,3,15,686,465.25263157894733,147.44677481390983]
[null,4,16,305,475.54210526315785,64.13732803559374]
[2004,1,17,186,485.83157894736837,38.284872383758724]
[null,2,18,680,496.1210526315789,137.0633228308032]
[null,3,19,725,506.41052631578947,143.16448065850466]
[null,4,20,324,516.7,62.70563189471646]
[]
[]
[]
["SUMMARY OUTPUT"]
[]
["回归统计"]
["Multiple R",0.2742905531422644]
["R Square",0.07523530754308937]
["Adjusted R Square",0.02385949129548322]
["标准误差",219.26660919171607]
["观测值",20]
[]
["方差分析"]
[null,"df","SS","MS","F","Significance F"]
["回归分析",1,70405.72368421045,70405.72368421045,1.4644109434776125,0.2418820926965074]
["残差",18,865401.2263157895,48077.84590643275]
["总计",19,935806.95]
[]
[null,"Coefficients","标准误差","t Stat","P-value","Lower 95%","Upper 95%","下限 95.0%","上限 95.0%"]
["Intercept",310.91052631578947,101.85623723670385,3.052444648954232,0.006855789156407909,96.91851291343801,524.9025397181409,96.91851291343801,524.9025397181409]
["X Variable 1",10.289473684210526,8.502794401915892,1.2101284822189808,0.2418820926965075,-7.574234449674455,28.153181818095504,-7.574234449674455,28.153181818095504]
[]
[]
[]
["RESIDUAL OUTPUT",null,null,null,null,"PROBABILITY OUTPUT"]
[]
["观测值","预测 Y","残差","标准残差",null,"百分比排位","Y"]
[1,321.2,-214.2,-1.0036620747556426,null,2.5,107]
[2,331.4894736842105,124.51052631578949,0.5834103322643434,null,7.5,127]
[3,341.77894736842103,170.22105263157897,0.7975929731619982,null,12.5,158]
[4,352.06842105263155,-114.06842105263155,-0.534482484303382,null,17.5,176]
[5,362.3578947368421,-235.35789473684213,-1.1028001537894452,null,22.5,186]
[6,372.64736842105265,198.35263157894735,0.929407160335051,null,27.5,238]
[7,382.93684210526317,258.06315789473683,1.2091886296481074,null,32.5,251]
[8,393.2263157894737,-142.2263157894737,-0.6664199775448851,null,37.5,293]
[9,403.5157894736842,-245.5157894736842,-1.150396296211146,null,42.5,305]
[10,413.80526315789473,215.19473684210527,1.0083230441430528,null,47.5,324]
[11,424.09473684210525,235.90526315789475,1.1053649200132052,null,52.5,456]
[12,434.38421052631577,-141.38421052631577,-0.6624741833544849,null,57.5,512]
[13,444.6736842105263,-268.6736842105263,-1.2589056364471485,null,62.5,571]
[14,454.9631578947368,199.0368421052632,0.9326131181147513,null,67.5,629]
[15,465.25263157894733,220.74736842105267,1.0343406245860036,null,72.5,641]
[16,475.54210526315785,-170.54210526315785,-0.7990973071970879,null,77.5,654]
[17,485.83157894736837,-299.83157894736837,-1.4049000214919516,null,82.5,660]
[18,496.1210526315789,183.8789473684211,0.8615888226875498,null,87.5,680]
[19,506.41052631578947,218.58947368421053,1.0242295269731032,null,92.5,686]
[20,516.7,-192.7,-0.9029210168319904,null,97.5,725]

{"sheet":"Sheet3","index":2,"n_rows":11,"n_cols":6,"rows_kept":11,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[0,0,0,4]],"flags":["formulas_cached_only"]}
["季节指数计算表"]
["年份","1季度(%)","2季度(%)","3季度(%)","4季度(%)","总计"]
[2000,33.31257783312578,137.5609291396091,149.80442883981644,67.60049631501055,388.27843212756187]
[2001,35.04822217057866,153.22797056621894,167.39052750213034,63.830926344812816,419.4976465837408]
[2002,39.155840767986646,152.00386655304428,155.6256050038472,67.45180715592551,414.2371194808036]
[2003,39.57958526654673,143.7479032425992,147.44677481390983,64.13732803559374,394.91159135864945]
[2004,38.284872383758724,137.0633228308032,143.16448065850466,62.70563189471646,381.2183077677831]
["同季平均",37.07621968439931,144.72079846645494,152.68636336364168,65.14523794921182,399.62861946370776]
["季节指数(%)",37.110675140488915,144.85528955425352,152.82825696372117,65.2057783415364,400]
[]
[null,"修正系数",1.000929314163712]

{"sheet":"预测结果","index":3,"n_rows":7,"n_cols":5,"rows_kept":7,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[1,0,4,0]],"flags":["formulas_cached_only"]}
["年份","季度","季顺序t","季节指数(%)","预测值"]
[2005,1,21,37.110675140488915,195.56935160351964]
[null,2,22,144.85528955425352,778.2769749245717]
[null,3,23,152.82825696372117,836.8392735785064]
[null,4,24,65.2057783415364,363.75558230286674]
["a",310.91052631578947]
["b",10.289473684210526]